Projections

Projections for the University of Michigan Ann Arbor Campus using Flu Surge and Flu Aid models based on pandemic outbreaks in 1918 and 1968

UM* 1918 scenario 1968 scenario
Total outpatient visits 7,500 * 7,500
Total hospital admissions 1,059 144
Total Deaths 179 22

* UM pop = 45,000

* For both scenarios, the number of outpatient visits with a 35% attack rate would be about 7,500 in a 12 week period.

Projection Based On 1918 Pandemic
1918 Pandemic Scenario

Projection Based On 1968 Pandemic
1918 Pandemic Scenario